This week there are not going to be many professional tennis games. The only ATP tour is the Challenger in Quimper, France. There are some interesting games, such as the game between Jan-Lennard Struff and Federico Gaio.
We are expecting a tough and closed game at least the first set must be with many games. We believe that there is a high chance to see a tie-break here. The line for the games is not that big. It is just 18.5 games. This is pretty easy to be achieved.
Jan-Lennard Struff is the favourite but Federico Gaio is very experienced player and he won't give that game so easy. If the first service of Gaio is getting in, both will hold their service games easily. We are not excluding the fact to see 3 sets as well, but it is far way more optimistic compared to the games over line.
After the raining beginning of the week in Sao Paulo, now it seems that the weather is almost nice to the tennis players and they successfully played their ⅛ finals games yesterday. We do not know what will be the forecast for today, but it seems that there are 60% chance for rain. This will definitely changed the favourites here. What we saw from the past days were that Carballes Baena is playing better when it comes to wet clay.
Pablo Carreno-Busta had a rough last weeks, when he was eliminated in the first rounds by Nadal, Thiem and Bellucci, respectively in Quito, Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro. Then he managed to take the first win after this bad serie against Albert Ramos Vinolas here in Sao Paulo, then he won against the other Spaniard Gimeno-Traver hardly in 3 sets and now he will face another Spaniard - Roberto Carballes Baena. Busta was very inconsistent in his last games, despite the wins. He is definitely starting to going in a shape but this won't happen in this tour.
Roberto Carballes Baena is a typical clay player. On clay he is really a dangerous player and he can beat anyone from his level. This year he is playing fantastic here in Sao Paulo. He eliminated the domestic favourite Joao Souza, then he was stopped in the final round of the qualifications but he was lucky enough to be picked as lucky loser and got into the main scheme of the tour. Then it was not hard to beat Taro Daniel in the first round and the surprise yesterday, when he beat the seeded number Thomaz Bellucci.
Well, Carreno-Busta is not from his level, but right now, in a form which is Busta, Carballes Baena has a huge chances of making the surprise. Of course, it will be really hard to happen, and this is the reason to think that this game can be in a three sets and Carballes Baena to steal one set from Busta.